Description:
This volume is based on studies of Japanese economic growth continuing on from
the “Think Tank 2005 Japan,” during the spring of 2006. It was produced in an effort
to resolve a political controversy on the targets for Japanese economic growth.
At the time the research was carried out, the Japanese economy was showing
signs of moderate recovery after almost 15 years of stagnation/deflation. In planning
for the future, some government officials and experts have argued that growth
will continue, but at a very slow pace. Japan is a mature economy with an aging
population and a large public debt. As a result, it is said, that Japan can anticipate
no more than very modest economic growth, perhaps 1.5–2% per year. Such a
pessimistic perspective reflects the assumptions that productivity growth will
follow recent slow trends and that growth will be checked by the constraints
imposed by Japan’s accumulated fiscal deficit. There is fear that seeking a faster
growth path would revive inflationary pressure and impair the government’s fiscal
stability